Canada鈥檚 lagging productivity will take years to remedy

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Canada鈥檚 lagging productivity will take years to remedy

By Barry Cross (成人大片)

June 12, 2023

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Canada has a productivity problem and its economy is falling behind other developed countries as a result. What鈥檚 going on? (Unsplash/Christian Erfurt)

Volkswagen executives and federal, provincial and local government officials in the next Canadian giga-factory in St. Thomas, Ont., to produce automotive batteries. The announcement promises up to 3,000 new jobs and to revitalize Canada鈥檚 automotive sector.

It鈥檚 good news for Canada. We need more global firms willing to invest in the country. But the $13-billion government investment doesn鈥檛 add up.

Matching and even beating competitive bids is common enough, especially in the automotive industry, but the amount involved could likely pay for not only all necessary capital expenditures to establish the plant and all its equipment, but also any related operating expenses for several years.

So why the massive subsidies?

They鈥檙e necessary when a country has little else to bring to the table.

Productivity lagging

Economic productivity (for example, labour, capital and raw materials).

While Canada ranks among the top countries to live in, our productivity doesn鈥檛 even hit the top 10 compared to other countries in the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD). That productivity grade is a proxy for how well we compete 鈥 which is poorly 鈥 where productivity is a measure of GDP per capita.

, its GDP per hour worked at 42.5 per cent of No. 1-ranked Ireland.

Compared to the United States, .

The reasons for Canada鈥檚 diminished productivity? While the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and labour shortages have had an impact, this issue pre-dates the pandemic. .

More relevant is the . large companies invest more in productivity-improving technology and training.

But even then, many of Canada鈥檚 largest organizations are comfortably part of stable oligopolies (banking and telecommunications companies, for example), with less industry pressure to be more competitive.

, where many of the people who implement productivity-enhancing measures would come from, are also less developed, especially in comparison to European countries.

Affects growth, costs

Productivity rankings are admittedly abstract. You could read all of this and say: 鈥淪o what? Most people who want to work can get jobs, and companies like Volkswagen are coming anyway! Why is this a problem?鈥

First, organizations struggling to find capable people, alongside staffing shortages, can deter or delay growth and opportunities to scale up. Customers who can鈥檛 get what they want while businesses struggle with capacity may go elsewhere, and labour shortages lead to higher wages and higher prices for goods and services.

Next, foreign investment. Volkswagen will use much of its government investment towards automation and productivity-enhancing technology.

But the deal also sets a dangerous precedent. Other firms may look at Canada鈥檚 productivity record, and more specifically at the lack of other large-scale applications of technology, and avoid investing here without significant subsidization.

A similar project announced in 2022 with Stellantis NV and its partner LG Energy Solutions received $1 billion in subsidies. .

Recent government budgets tabled in Canada highlight the need for a focus on productivity, and other countries are not standing still. U.S. President Joe Biden鈥檚 earlier this year emphasized productivity, while his promised $500 billion in related new spending.

Evidence abounds

Canada鈥檚 productivity struggles are seen in many areas: Our health-care system is stretched to the limit. Public transit is a couple of generations behind other developed markets. All this despite

At the intersection of government and the private sector is our dismal performance on large-scale infrastructure projects, such as pipelines, transportation and energy. Canada鈥檚 ability to move resources to market, enable workers to commute efficiently and execute large-scale projects takes twice as long and costs twice as much .

In his book , noted American business thinker Michael Hammer said past success and growth were the result of demographics. While this might be an exaggeration, it isn鈥檛 much of one.

Australia, a resource-driven economy much like Canada鈥檚, has improved its productivity over the last 20 years and is now performing five per cent better than Canada.

Businesses surely have a role to play in upping productivity, but government must lead the way. One area to start: funding and tax incentives for investments in technology. Right now the process is cumbersome and funding amounts lag behind the U.S.

Talent deficit

Additionally, companies lack talent with the knowledge and skills to apply this 鈥渇ree money.鈥 Government needs to streamline the application process and speed up the transfer of funds.

It must also invest in technical trades education; speed up licensing and visa processing for foreign workers; incentivize training and research and development; and drastically expand infrastructure and health-care investment. The core objective should be not only to enable organizations to operate at full capacity but to improve the talents of that capacity.

Canada needs to improve the way we work. Improving our productivity ranking will take years, but by taking steps in education, in the private sector and in government, we can hopefully attract the type of project Volkswagen is committing to 鈥 and without massive subsidies.

Increasing productivity and improving the way we work is the only sustainable, long-term strategy to increase national wealth. At least then if we choose to write a cheque, we can afford it.The Conversation

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, Assistant Business Professor,

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